๐ฎ๐ฉ MENTAWAI ISLANDS, INDONESIA
Lance's Right
HT's โ the most consistent perfect right in the Mentawais
GOOD
Live Conditions
Conditions Summary
Solid 9ft swell โ with 13s mixed swell โ hitting at the ideal angle โ light cross-shore winds, still manageable
LOW CONFIDENCEModel-only forecast, no buoy nearby
Why it's GOOD
Swell Direction
Primary swell is 197ยฐ โ matches the ideal 225ยฐ window for this spot
Swell Period
13s โ solid groundswell. Waves will have real energy and organization.
Wind
16mph cross-shore โ not ideal but surfable if wind is light
Season
October is peak season for this spot
Data Confidence
Model-only forecast, no buoy nearby
At the Break
9.2ft
LOW CONFIDENCE
Model-only forecast, no buoy nearby
Period
13s
โ Groundswell
Wind
16mph
SE
CROSS-SHORE
Water
83ยฐF
Boardshorts
Swell Direction
85%
Wind Direction
65%
Primary Swell
6.9ft @ 14.2s
SSW 197ยฐ
Secondary Swell
5.2ft @ 6.5s
S 169ยฐ
10 Day Outlook
8.4ft
TODAY
Oct 23
(19s)
8.3ft
TMRW
Oct 24
(16s)
7.3ft
SUN
Oct 25
(15s)
5.9ft
MON
Oct 26
(14s)
5.7ft
TUE
Oct 27
(13s)
5.1ft
WED
Oct 28
(11s)
4.5ft
THU
Oct 29
(11s)
4.1ft
FRI
Oct 30
(17s)
4.4ft
SAT
Oct 31
(15s)
4.1ft
SUN
Nov 1
(13s)
Best this week: today โ 8.4ft
Best next week: SAT Oct 31 โ 4.4ft
Incoming Swell Events
Today
solid
Swell building to 8.4ft @ 19s
Model Breakdown
ECMWF (45%)9.6ft
ICON (35%)9.1ft
GFS (20%)8.4ft
Model confidence65%
Updated every 30 mins ยท Open-Meteo ECMWF + ICON + GFS
About
Lance's Right (HT's) in the Mentawai Islands is widely considered one of the most perfect right-hand reef breaks on earth. Long, hollow, and incredibly consistent โ it fires on almost every swell that hits the islands.
The Break
The main HT's peak โ a long, fast right that barrels through multiple sections. Can link up for 200m+ rides.
Ideal Conditions
SW swell 4-8ft, light E trades, mid tide
Best Months
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Best months highlighted ยท Current: Oct
Trip Planner
Mentawai Charter
Weekend ยท 3 Days
Friday
Fly into Padang (PDG). Board surf charter boat, sail overnight.
Saturday
Full day HT's โ dawn to dusk sessions.
Sunday
Morning session, sail back to Padang, fly home.
Mentawai Islands Week
Full Week ยท 7 Days
Day 1
Arrive Padang, board charter.
Day 2
HT's all day.
Day 3
Macaronis โ the playful left nearby.
Day 4
Chase swell across the islands.
Day 5
Kandui or Rifles.
Day 6
Final full day at HT's.
Day 7
Sail back, fly home.
Local Knowledge
01
A surf charter is the only way โ book through a reputable Padang operator.
02
HT's works on almost any swell direction โ the most consistent spot in the islands.
03
Bring a quiver โ you will want different boards for different conditions.
04
The water is crystal clear and warm โ one of the most beautiful places on earth.
Best Window
Day 1 ยท Oct 23
8.4ft @ 19s
FIRING
Trip Cost Estimate
Flights from NYC~$1200
Hotel per night~$180
Weekend est.~$1740
5 day est.~$2100
Week est.~$2460